A collection of my shorter insights in the form of articles:

Second Wave Price Prediction Markets: The second wave of Price Prediction Markets can introduce Information Markets, public markets for startups and SMEs, integrate with events, and apply to real estate predictions, among other innovations. These advancements will enhance market transparency, improve forecasting accuracy, and create new opportunities. Challenges likely to arise, such as self-defeating long-term bets and heterogeneous market structures, are explored and solutions are suggested.

The Future of Work in the Age of Robots and AI: Robots + AI (R&AI) will take over repetitive and derivative tasks. Blue-collar workers will become Remoters, handling complex situations by remotely controlling robots. White-collar workers will become Researchers, focused on creating new inventions, content, and art. These outputs will be sold as AI-packs in digital marketplaces, ready to be purchased and installed in robots. We discuss how individuals and governments can prepare accordingly.

Price Prediction Markets: Traditional financial oversight and self-regulation often fail to prevent fraud and financial instability. Price Prediction Markets leverage decentralized adversarial oversight by allowing participants to bet on future asset prices, creating a real-time, market-driven early warning system. Unlike event-based prediction markets, Price Prediction Markets offer continuous, granular price forecasting, improving price discovery, transparency, and risk assessment. These markets could complement existing financial tools like derivatives, short selling, and credit default swaps by providing more accessible, dynamic, and transparent financial insights.

Protectionism, Tariffs and Jobs: Tariffs and other protectionist measures are unlikely to succeed because they target the wrong problem. The real threat to jobs is not foreign competition but automation, which eliminates roles faster than new ones can emerge. Meanwhile, the primary force for job creation—innovation—is blocked by the patent system, preventing industries from adapting and generating new opportunities. Without addressing these deeper structural issues, protectionism is little more than a temporary distraction from the real economic challenges.

Mean Price and Per-Minute reporting: An overreliance on Last Price in financial markets and society leads to resource misallocation, volatility, and market manipulation risks. Using Mean Price and Per-Minute reporting offers greater transparency, sophistication, flexibility, composability, and resistance to manipulation.

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